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RSI oversold bounce

Bets that price rebounds once RSI climbs back over 30. Tends to work in ranges and to keep buying into downtrends.

Data through 2026-10-16 · 0.06% fee and 0.02% slippage per side · 1h timeframe

Profitable
0/6
Median
-89.9%
Best
-77.9%

What this strategy does

Long entrywhen all of these are true
  • RSI(14) crosses above 30
Exit
  1. 1.stop loss at -2%
  2. 2.take profit at +4%

If several conditions hit on the same candle, the one listed first applies.

Results by coin

CoinReturnMax drawdownWin rateTradesProfit factorSharpeRun it yourself
btc-84.5%88.5%31.2%6830.83-0.90Open in the backtester →
eth-77.9%82.5%32.7%7970.85-0.64Open in the backtester →
sol-95.3%96.3%28.0%6890.70-1.73Open in the backtester →
xrp-95.9%96.1%28.8%7960.73-1.52Open in the backtester →
doge-83.3%84.6%31.7%7140.80-0.84Open in the backtester →
ada-98.3%98.5%27.0%8250.62-1.89Open in the backtester →

How to read this honestly

  • 6 of 6 coins drew down more than half the account at the worst point.
  • Only 5 of 47 coin-and-period cells were profitable.
  • 6 of 6 coins carried volatility without being paid for it.
  • The worst losing streak ran 18 trades in a row.

Return by period

Coin7y5y3y2y1y6m3m1m
btc-84.3%-76.4%-57.9%-52.7%-41.5%-10.0%-3.3%-4.3%
eth-76.1%-57.2%-46.0%-35.2%-17.3%-11.3%+10.3%-4.7%
sol—-92.4%-77.4%-64.1%-9.8%+5.7%+15.8%+0.5%
xrp-94.9%-90.8%-74.2%-68.9%-43.4%-27.3%-15.2%-5.2%
doge-82.4%-68.0%-52.3%-36.1%-28.1%-17.0%-2.2%+1.6%
ada-96.7%-92.8%-78.8%-68.0%-53.2%-44.9%-18.0%-6.6%

Past performance does not guarantee future results. This table is a record of applying rules to past data, not a recommendation to trade them.