Golden cross trend following
Bets that a 50-over-200 EMA cross marks a trend that continues. Pays in trends, bleeds in chop.
Data through 2026-10-16 · 0.06% fee and 0.02% slippage per side · 4h timeframe
Profitable
3/6
Median
+3.2%
Best
+190.7%
What this strategy does
Long entrywhen all of these are true
- EMA50 crosses above EMA200 (golden cross)
Exit
- 1.6% trailing stop
- 2.exit on the opposite signal: EMA50 crosses below EMA200 (dead cross)
If several conditions hit on the same candle, the one listed first applies.
Results by coin
| Coin | Return | Max drawdown | Win rate | Trades | Profit factor | Sharpe | Run it yourself |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| btc | +190.7% | 16.0% | 52.5% | 40 | 3.14 | 1.08 | Open in the backtester → |
| eth | +7.2% | 26.1% | 39.5% | 43 | 1.07 | 0.13 | Open in the backtester → |
| sol | -0.8% | 35.1% | 38.9% | 36 | 0.99 | 0.05 | Open in the backtester → |
| xrp | -21.1% | 38.2% | 34.0% | 53 | 0.77 | -0.16 | Open in the backtester → |
| doge | +26.5% | 30.4% | 42.9% | 35 | 1.36 | 0.35 | Open in the backtester → |
| ada | -18.2% | 28.5% | 36.6% | 41 | 0.78 | -0.15 | Open in the backtester → |
How to read this honestly
- 6 of 6 coins traded fewer than 100 times, so their numbers carry wide error bars.
- 2 of 6 coins carried volatility without being paid for it.
Return by period
| Coin | 7y | 5y | 3y | 2y | 1y | 6m | 3m | 1m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| btc | +154.6% | +96.8% | +63.1% | +25.9% | +5.0% | +6.8% | +6.8% | 0.0% |
| eth | +1.4% | -15.5% | -9.4% | -11.7% | -7.2% | +2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| sol | — | -7.3% | -2.5% | -17.5% | -5.0% | +13.6% | +19.6% | 0.0% |
| xrp | -5.1% | -4.8% | +15.1% | +21.4% | +1.9% | +2.0% | +2.8% | 0.0% |
| doge | +15.9% | +24.9% | +31.3% | +39.3% | +7.7% | +14.2% | +14.2% | 0.0% |
| ada | -21.0% | -13.1% | -0.9% | -5.6% | -3.0% | +2.3% | -0.5% | 0.0% |
Past performance does not guarantee future results. This table is a record of applying rules to past data, not a recommendation to trade them.